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Tanzania

Africa
High Risk
🇹🇿

Tanzania

High Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily

Tanzania faces high energy security risk due to its 100% reliance on imported petroleum, with current gasoline prices at $1.22/L and only 20 days of reserves. The port of Dar es Salaam, crucial for fuel imports, is experiencing significant supply chain pressure, exacerbating domestic fuel availability. While its Hormuz exposure is low, the global supply crunch of 17 mb/d is severely impacting costs and logistics. The outlook for the coming weeks suggests continued elevated fuel prices and potential shortages, with economic stability increasingly strained by these pressures.

$1.22
Gasoline /L
+32.6% vs pre-war
20d
Reserves
3 weeks
+16.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
100%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: low

Fuel Prices

USD primary · TZS (TSh) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 18, 2026

Gasoline
$1.22/L
TSh3179/L
+32.6% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.08/L
TSh2815/L
+38.5% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.68/L
TSh1772/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.85/L
TSh2215/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.92/L · Diesel $0.78/L · Current prices are 32.6% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4TSh2251/LTSh2551/LTSh2851/LTSh3265/LPre-war⚔ War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
TZS · live rates

Strategic Oil Reserves

20days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
100%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Low
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
30%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+65%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+16.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment

News: Tanzania

Canada’s Orca walks away for $10 as Tanzanian billionaire Rostam Aziz takes over key gas asset - Business Insider Africa
Canada’s Orca walks away for $10 as Tanzanian billionaire Rostam Aziz takes over key gas asset  Business Insider Africa
Google News·2d ago
Orca calls time on Tanzania - sells gas assets for $10 - Upstream Online
Orca calls time on Tanzania - sells gas assets for $10  Upstream Online
Google News·4d ago
Maurel & Prom’s New Mnazi Bay Find Strengthens Tanzania’s Gas Expansion Strategy - Energy Capital & Power
Maurel & Prom’s New Mnazi Bay Find Strengthens Tanzania’s Gas Expansion Strategy  Energy Capital & Power
Google News·2d ago
Songo Songo gas deal sees Taifa Gas buy 49% stake - MEXC
Songo Songo gas deal sees Taifa Gas buy 49% stake  MEXC
Google News·1d ago
FC pledges to work with Tanzania on energy and railway infrastructure projects - tanzaniainsight.com
FC pledges to work with Tanzania on energy and railway infrastructure projects  tanzaniainsight.com
Google News·2d ago
Clean cooking energy uptake climbs to 23.4pc as Tanzania targets 80pc by 2034 - thecitizen.co.tz
Clean cooking energy uptake climbs to 23.4pc as Tanzania targets 80pc by 2034  thecitizen.co.tz
Google News·15h ago
How Kenya’s Fuel Prices Compare With Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, and Ethiopia - The Kenya Times
How Kenya’s Fuel Prices Compare With Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, and Ethiopia  The Kenya Times
Google News·2d ago
Tanzania raises fuel prices, petrol up by KSh 50 as Kenyans await EPRA announcement - MSN
Tanzania raises fuel prices, petrol up by KSh 50 as Kenyans await EPRA announcement  MSN
Google News·14d ago
Fuel Crisis Could Push Tanzania to the Brink if Middle East War Drags On, Warns Industry Chief - The Chanzo
Fuel Crisis Could Push Tanzania to the Brink if Middle East War Drags On, Warns Industry Chief  The Chanzo
Google News·24d ago
Tanzania fuel prices surge to record highs as US-Israeli war on Iran bites - thecitizen.co.tz
Tanzania fuel prices surge to record highs as US-Israeli war on Iran bites  thecitizen.co.tz
Google News·16d ago

Government Response

Moderate response

Last updated: April 2026

  • Emergency fuel import via Dar es Salaam port from UAE and India
  • Fuel price stabilisation levy activated to cap retail increases
  • IMF emergency support of $400 million approved
  • Rationing of diesel for commercial transport: 100 litres/day cap
✈️

Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

View full flight disruption tracker →

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest →

No inbound tankers detected

May indicate supply disruption

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposurelow
CurrencyTZS (TSh)
RegionAfrica
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com · Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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