Brent$91.877.54%
Brent crude down 8.9% today to $90.51/bbl.
🇿🇦

South Africa

Africa
High Risk
🇿🇦

South Africa

High Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily

South Africa is highly exposed to the global oil crisis, importing 80% of its oil needs, with gasoline prices now at $1.42/L. The country's 35 days of reserves provide some short-term stability, but the ongoing Eskom power crisis exacerbates energy insecurity and economic strain. Moderate food risk is noted with fertilizer costs up 55%, adding to inflationary pressures. The coming weeks will likely see continued high fuel costs impacting consumers and businesses, with the dual energy crises posing a significant challenge to economic stability.

$1.42
Gasoline /L
+31.5% vs pre-war
35d
Reserves
5 weeks
+12.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
80%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: low

Fuel Prices

USD primary · ZAR (R) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 18, 2026

Gasoline
$1.42/L
R23.2/L
+31.5% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.28/L
R20.9/L
+34.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.78/L
R12.7/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.98/L
R16.0/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.08/L · Diesel $0.95/L · Current prices are 31.5% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4R16.6/LR18.6/LR20.6/LR23.8/LPre-war⚔ War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
ZAR · live rates

Strategic Oil Reserves

35days
5 weeks
1.2 months
Below average — Under 2 months
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
80%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Low
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
28%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+55%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+12.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment

News: South Africa

Oil price surge is hurting African economies: scholars in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal and South Africa take stock - The Conversation
Oil price surge is hurting African economies: scholars in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal and South Africa take stock  The Conversation
Google News Energy·29d ago
Shell in talks with UAE's ADNOC for South Africa fuel outlet sale, Bloomberg News reports - Reuters
Shell in talks with UAE's ADNOC for South Africa fuel outlet sale, Bloomberg News reports  Reuters
Google News·3d ago
South Africa’s Kganyago rejects ‘wait-and-see’ approach - Semafor
South Africa’s Kganyago rejects ‘wait-and-see’ approach  Semafor
Google News·12h ago
Shell Sells Gas Stations in South Africa to ADNOC - Inspenet
Shell Sells Gas Stations in South Africa to ADNOC  Inspenet
Google News·9h ago
Asia and Africa turn to nuclear power as Iran war sparks energy crisis - AOL.com
Asia and Africa turn to nuclear power as Iran war sparks energy crisis  AOL.com
Google News·14h ago
South Africa to Host Landmark African Union Ministerial Session on Transport and Energy - African Union
South Africa to Host Landmark African Union Ministerial Session on Transport and Energy  African Union
Google News·2d ago
South Africans want solar power but they worry panels will be stolen – study - The Conversation
South Africans want solar power but they worry panels will be stolen – study  The Conversation
Google News·1d ago
Court consolidates appeal process in South African offshore oil and gas case - EnviroNews Nigeria
Court consolidates appeal process in South African offshore oil and gas case  EnviroNews Nigeria
Google News·12h ago
IOL Investigation | South African petrol and diesel prices versus other countries: Is our fuel really overpriced? - IOL
IOL Investigation | South African petrol and diesel prices versus other countries: Is our fuel really overpriced?  IOL
Google News·20h ago
Here’s how much it will now cost you to drive between South Africa’s major cities - IOL
Here’s how much it will now cost you to drive between South Africa’s major cities  IOL
Google News·22h ago

Government Response

Moderate response

Last updated: April 2026

  • Strategic fuel reserve drawdown of 2 million barrels approved
  • Emergency crude import from Nigeria and Angola to reduce Hormuz exposure
  • Load-shedding Stage 4 implemented to reduce diesel generator demand
  • Fuel levy reduced by ZAR 1.50/litre for 3 months
  • Renewable energy emergency procurement: 2 GW fast-tracked
✈️

Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate
Jet fuel price change+36% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
Moderate
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
Moderate
View full flight tracker →

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest →
2 Crude Oil1 LNG1 Products
STENA PREMIUM
Diesel · from Rotterdam, Netherlands
ETA Today
48,000t DWT
NAVE DORADO
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
155,000t DWT
GOLAR TUNDRA
LNG · from Sabine Pass, USA
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
82,000t DWT
OLYMPIC LEGEND
Crude Oil · from Ceyhan, Turkey
ETA 7d (25 Apr)
110,000t DWT
4 vessels en route

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposurelow
CurrencyZAR (R)
RegionAfrica
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com · Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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