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South Africa
High Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily
South Africa is highly exposed to the global oil crisis, importing 80% of its oil needs, with gasoline prices now at $1.42/L. The country's 35 days of reserves provide some short-term stability, but the ongoing Eskom power crisis exacerbates energy insecurity and economic strain. Moderate food risk is noted with fertilizer costs up 55%, adding to inflationary pressures. The coming weeks will likely see continued high fuel costs impacting consumers and businesses, with the dual energy crises posing a significant challenge to economic stability.
$1.42
Gasoline /L
+31.5% vs pre-war
35d
Reserves
5 weeks
+12.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
80%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: low
Fuel Prices
USD primary · ZAR (R) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 18, 2026
Gasoline
$1.42/L
R23.2/L
+31.5% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.28/L
R20.9/L
+34.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.78/L
R12.7/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.98/L
R16.0/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.08/L · Diesel $0.95/L · Current prices are 31.5% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
ZAR · live ratesStrategic Oil Reserves
35days
5 weeks
1.2 months
Below average — Under 2 months
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
80%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Low
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
28%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+55%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+12.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment
News: South Africa
Oil price surge is hurting African economies: scholars in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal and South Africa take stock - The Conversation
Oil price surge is hurting African economies: scholars in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal and South Africa take stock The Conversation
Google News Energy·29d ago
Shell in talks with UAE's ADNOC for South Africa fuel outlet sale, Bloomberg News reports - Reuters
Shell in talks with UAE's ADNOC for South Africa fuel outlet sale, Bloomberg News reports Reuters
Google News·3d ago
South Africa’s Kganyago rejects ‘wait-and-see’ approach - Semafor
South Africa’s Kganyago rejects ‘wait-and-see’ approach Semafor
Google News·12h ago
Shell Sells Gas Stations in South Africa to ADNOC - Inspenet
Shell Sells Gas Stations in South Africa to ADNOC Inspenet
Google News·9h ago
Asia and Africa turn to nuclear power as Iran war sparks energy crisis - AOL.com
Asia and Africa turn to nuclear power as Iran war sparks energy crisis AOL.com
Google News·14h ago
South Africa to Host Landmark African Union Ministerial Session on Transport and Energy - African Union
South Africa to Host Landmark African Union Ministerial Session on Transport and Energy African Union
Google News·2d ago
South Africans want solar power but they worry panels will be stolen – study - The Conversation
South Africans want solar power but they worry panels will be stolen – study The Conversation
Google News·1d ago
Court consolidates appeal process in South African offshore oil and gas case - EnviroNews Nigeria
Court consolidates appeal process in South African offshore oil and gas case EnviroNews Nigeria
Google News·12h ago
IOL Investigation | South African petrol and diesel prices versus other countries: Is our fuel really overpriced? - IOL
IOL Investigation | South African petrol and diesel prices versus other countries: Is our fuel really overpriced? IOL
Google News·20h ago
Here’s how much it will now cost you to drive between South Africa’s major cities - IOL
Here’s how much it will now cost you to drive between South Africa’s major cities IOL
Google News·22h ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- Strategic fuel reserve drawdown of 2 million barrels approved
- Emergency crude import from Nigeria and Angola to reduce Hormuz exposure
- Load-shedding Stage 4 implemented to reduce diesel generator demand
- Fuel levy reduced by ZAR 1.50/litre for 3 months
- Renewable energy emergency procurement: 2 GW fast-tracked
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
ModerateJet fuel price change+36% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
Moderate
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
Moderate
●2 Crude Oil●1 LNG●1 Products
STENA PREMIUM
Diesel · from Rotterdam, Netherlands
ETA Today
48,000t DWT
NAVE DORADO
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
155,000t DWT
GOLAR TUNDRA
LNG · from Sabine Pass, USA
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
82,000t DWT
OLYMPIC LEGEND
Crude Oil · from Ceyhan, Turkey
ETA 7d (25 Apr)
110,000t DWT
4 vessels en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposurelow
CurrencyZAR (R)
RegionAfrica
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
See global context
