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Brazil
Low Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily
Brazil exhibits low energy security risk, benefiting significantly from its status as a major oil producer with only 15% oil import dependency and no Hormuz exposure. The country's extensive pre-salt deepwater fields are providing a crucial buffer against global supply shocks, helping to stabilize domestic energy markets. Gasoline prices are $1.28/L, and the nation maintains 120 days of oil reserves. Food security is low risk, despite a 32% increase in fertilizer prices. The outlook for Brazil remains relatively stable, leveraging its domestic production capacity to mitigate external pressures.
$1.28
Gasoline /L
+25.5% vs pre-war
120d
Reserves
17 weeks
+7.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: low
15%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: none
Fuel Prices
USD primary · BRL (R$) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 18, 2026
Gasoline
$1.28/L
R$6.38/L
+25.5% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.15/L
R$5.73/L
+30.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.72/L
R$3.59/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.90/L
R$4.49/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.02/L · Diesel $0.88/L · Current prices are 25.5% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
BRL · live ratesStrategic Oil Reserves
120days
17 weeks
4.0 months
Adequate
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
15%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
None
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
8%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+32%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+7.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Low
FAO / WFP assessment
News: Brazil
Brazil is uniquely positioned to weather rising world oil prices. Here is why - AP News
Brazil is uniquely positioned to weather rising world oil prices. Here is why AP News
Google News·17d ago
Brazil weighs bills that could raise oil sector risk - BNamericas
Brazil weighs bills that could raise oil sector risk BNamericas
Google News·15h ago
Petrobras in initial talks to buy back Brazil refinery from Mubadala, sources say - Reuters
Petrobras in initial talks to buy back Brazil refinery from Mubadala, sources say Reuters
Google News·4d ago
First BioGL import marks advance in Brazil’s energy transition - DatamarNews
First BioGL import marks advance in Brazil’s energy transition DatamarNews
Google News·10h ago
Brazil has a secret weapon against oil shocks - The Economist
Brazil has a secret weapon against oil shocks The Economist
Google News·22d ago
CHC Brazil wins Petrobras’ PEOTRAM award for third consecutive year - RotorHub International
CHC Brazil wins Petrobras’ PEOTRAM award for third consecutive year RotorHub International
Google News·15h ago
Petrobras Board Vote Looms as Brazil Balances Fuel Prices and Politics - Yahoo Finance
Petrobras Board Vote Looms as Brazil Balances Fuel Prices and Politics Yahoo Finance
Google News·1d ago
Petrobras ADRs fall as oil prices retreat and Brazil policy risk stays in focus - Quiver Quantitative
Petrobras ADRs fall as oil prices retreat and Brazil policy risk stays in focus Quiver Quantitative
Google News·3d ago
U.S. joins Mexico, Brazil, Spain, Panama & Venezuela to Fuel Colombia’s Record 16.7% Surge in International Travel in Early 2026 - Travel And Tour World
U.S. joins Mexico, Brazil, Spain, Panama & Venezuela to Fuel Colombia’s Record 16.7% Surge in International Travel in Early 2026 Travel And Tour World
Google News·4h ago
Tight deadlines threaten Brazil’s anticipated battery storage auction - ESS News
Tight deadlines threaten Brazil’s anticipated battery storage auction ESS News
Google News·2d ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- Petrobras pre-salt production at record 3.2 mb/d
- Ethanol blend mandate increased to E30 to reduce gasoline demand
- No emergency measures required — Brazil is a net oil exporter
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
LowJet fuel price change+22% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
Low
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
Low
●1 Crude Oil●1 LNG●2 Products
CLEAN OCEAN
LNG · from Sabine Pass, USA
ETA 2d (20 Apr)
88,000t DWT
NAVE GALACTIC
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
298,000t DWT
STENA PREMIUM
Diesel · from Rotterdam, Netherlands
ETA 7d (25 Apr)
55,000t DWT
NORDIC ANNE
Gasoline · from Antwerp, Belgium
ETA 10d (28 Apr)
48,000t DWT
4 vessels en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelLow Risk
Hormuz Exposurenone
CurrencyBRL (R$)
RegionAmericas
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
See global context
