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Bangladesh
Critical
AI Analysis · Updated daily
Bangladesh is at a critical risk level, with its 88% oil import dependency and direct Hormuz exposure leading to severe energy shortages. The country possesses fewer than 14 days of oil reserves, resulting in widespread power cuts of 8-12 hours daily and gasoline priced at $1.12/L. High food risk is compounded by a nearly 98% increase in fertilizer costs, threatening agricultural production. The immediate outlook is extremely challenging, with humanitarian concerns rising as fuel and food security rapidly deteriorate.
$1.12
Gasoline /L
+27.3% vs pre-war
14d
Reserves
2 weeks
+31.2%
Food Inflation
Risk: high
88%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: direct
Fuel Prices
USD primary · BDT (৳) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 18, 2026
Gasoline
$1.12/L
৳138/L
+27.3% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.02/L
৳125/L
+30.8% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.68/L
৳84/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.82/L
৳101/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.88/L · Diesel $0.78/L · Current prices are 27.3% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
BDT · live ratesStrategic Oil Reserves
14days
2 weeks
0.5 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
88%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Direct
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
18%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+98%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+31.2%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
High
FAO / WFP assessment
Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+98% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +31.2% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.
News: Bangladesh
Bangladesh’s gig workers are stuck in gas lines as Iran-U.S. war strains fuel supply - Rest of World
Bangladesh’s gig workers are stuck in gas lines as Iran-U.S. war strains fuel supply Rest of World
Google News·16h ago
Bangladesh cuts working hours to save energy amid Middle East crisis - Reuters
Bangladesh cuts working hours to save energy amid Middle East crisis Reuters
Google News·15d ago
How Bangladesh can tackle the current energy crisis - The Daily Star
How Bangladesh can tackle the current energy crisis The Daily Star
Google News·3h ago
Bangladesh’s Energy Crisis worsens as US-Israeli War on Iran Drags on - Informed Comment
Bangladesh’s Energy Crisis worsens as US-Israeli War on Iran Drags on Informed Comment
Google News·4d ago
Bangladesh at the Crossroads: Renewables or Imported Fuel Chaos - The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine
Bangladesh at the Crossroads: Renewables or Imported Fuel Chaos The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine
Google News·2d ago
Bangladesh's BPC invites international suppliers for refined oil products - S&P Global
Bangladesh's BPC invites international suppliers for refined oil products S&P Global
Google News·2d ago
US gives Bangladesh 60-day waiver to buy Russian fuel - The Indian Awaaz
US gives Bangladesh 60-day waiver to buy Russian fuel The Indian Awaaz
Google News·11h ago
Beyond Diversification Bangladesh S Fuel Crisis And Role Of Neighbourhood Ties - Expert Speak | ORF - orfonline.org
Beyond Diversification Bangladesh S Fuel Crisis And Role Of Neighbourhood Ties - Expert Speak | ORF orfonline.org
Google News·1d ago
‘Hours for a liter’: Bangladesh’s fuel shortage deepens amid Iran war - Anadolu Ajansı
‘Hours for a liter’: Bangladesh’s fuel shortage deepens amid Iran war Anadolu Ajansı
Google News·21d ago
Could Bangladesh become the first country to run short of fuel? - Nation Thailand
Could Bangladesh become the first country to run short of fuel? Nation Thailand
Google News·14d ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- National energy emergency declared by Prime Minister
- Power cuts of 8-12 hours/day implemented across non-essential sectors
- Fuel rationing: private vehicles limited to 20 litres per visit
- Emergency crude oil purchase from Russia and Kazakhstan via alternative routes
- World Bank emergency credit of $500 million mobilised for fuel imports
- Garment factories operating on reduced hours to conserve diesel
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
CriticalJet fuel price change+68% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
High
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
High
WARNING: Bangladesh has 2 confirmed inbound vessels. Fuel rationing in effect in Dhaka. Next scheduled delivery not until late April.
●1 Crude Oil●1 LNG
OLYMPIC LEGEND
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA 4d (22 Apr)
115,000t DWT
EXCELLENCE
LNG · from Bontang, Indonesia
ETA 7d (25 Apr)
75,000t DWT
2 vessels en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelCritical
Hormuz Exposuredirect
CurrencyBDT (৳)
RegionSouth Asia
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
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